Maddow Weblog | How (and why) a number one Republican is pre-explaining his defeat

Nobody can say with certainty what the outcomes might be in at present’s gubernatorial recall election in California, partially as a result of individuals are nonetheless voting. The polls counsel incumbent Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom is prone to maintain his job, however till election officers begin tallying the votes, the end result is unsure.

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Republicans within the Golden State, nonetheless, expect defeat — and so they’re not dealing with it properly.

As Election Day drew nearer, as Newsom’s odds of success improved, assorted figures on the fitting began telling California Republicans the race was “rigged.” There was no proof to substantiate the conspiracy theories, however the anti-election beast created in earnest final 12 months must be fed, so the same old suspects began throwing pink meat.

This week, the dynamic grew fairly a bit worse. Donald Trump, for instance, issued a written assertion yesterday calling the recall election a “rip-off” that is been “rigged.” The previous president was clearly mendacity, however he is more and more of the assumption that elections should be delegitimized if Republicans are anticipated to lose.

Conservative media persona Larry Elder, extensively seen as the highest GOP contender in at present’s race, went fairly a bit additional. Yesterday, Elder refused to say he’ll settle for the outcomes of the election, whereas selling a petition “demanding a particular session of the California legislature to analyze and ameliorate the twisted outcomes of this 2021 Recall Election of Governor Gavin Newsom.”

Elder and his staff have not seen the outcomes — they do not but exist — however they’re however certain that the voting tallies are “twisted” and in want of an investigation.

However that is not all of the Elder marketing campaign mentioned. Rachel highlighted an particularly unusual message posted final evening to the Republican’s web site, claiming it had “detected fraud” within the “outcomes” that do not but exist in actuality. The positioning informed guests:

Statistical analyses used to detect fraud in elections held in Third-world nations (similar to Russia, Venezuela, and Iran) have detected fraud in California leading to Governor Gavin Newsom being reinstated as governor.

Once more, simply so we’re all clear, the Elder marketing campaign put all of this in writing and printed it on-line, denouncing outcomes that have not been tabulated, and pointing to proof of fraud that would not exist with out the advantage of a time machine.

At this level, all of this will appear vaguely amusing. In spite of everything, a Republican candidate appears largely satisfied he will lose, so he is peddling nonsense that defies area and time so as to justify his anticipated defeat.

However a few of this is not in any respect humorous.

“They are saying that in America, there are 4 bins of liberty,” the Elder marketing campaign’s web site added. “The soapbox, the poll field, the jury field, and the ammo field. Will we now should struggle the California jury field, within the hope that the ultimate field — the one most akin to Pandora’s — stays closed?”

In different phrases, in line with the highest GOP candidate, hoping to grow to be governor of the nation’s largest state, if Republican voters cannot belief the poll field, they might think about turning to ammunition.

At face worth, such rhetoric — primarily based on actually nothing, in response to election outcomes that do not exist — is inherently harmful. However making issues worse is the bigger nationwide context.

NBC Information’ First Learn staff defined this morning that such posturing is “unsustainable” in a democracy: “In case you’re telling your voters to not belief the election outcomes, the logical conclusion is that elections aren’t price having.”

I am cognizant of the argument that the Republican officers pushing these anti-election concepts are lower than honest. Elder and his cohorts, the argument goes, are properly of the truth that our elections usually are not rigged and there aren’t any respectable causes to query the integrity of our electoral system. They push this rubbish anyway to maintain the GOP base agitated, motivated and scared sufficient to succeed in for his or her wallets.

The difficulty, in fact, is easy: Rank-and-file Republican voters do not see the wink and the nod. They consider the anti-election nonsense as a result of they belief the GOP voices who peddle the anti-election nonsense.

And proper now, these voices are telling Republican voters that the one election outcomes they need to understand as respectable are those who present Democrats dropping.

This manner insanity lies.

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